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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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NEWCASTLE UNITED
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of Newcastle United's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 Newcastle United sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2023 Saturday, November 4, 2023 4239.62  
  2022 Monday, December 26, 2022 4197.28  
  2024 Saturday, April 13, 2024 4185.60  
  1906 Saturday, December 22, 1906 4178.36  
  1907 Saturday, January 5, 1907 4170.52  
  1905 Saturday, March 25, 1905 4169.67  
  1909 Tuesday, March 23, 1909 4161.74  
  2003 Saturday, March 22, 2003 4155.99  
  1904 Saturday, December 31, 1904 4150.68  
  1994 Wednesday, October 26, 1994 4144.64  
  1908 Saturday, March 28, 1908 4137.12  
  1950 Saturday, November 4, 1950 4136.90  
  1952 Saturday, March 8, 1952 4136.10  
  1996 Wednesday, October 23, 1996 4129.96  
  2002 Sunday, February 24, 2002 4127.48  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 Newcastle United sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  1992 Saturday, February 1, 1992 3702.05  
  1980 Saturday, August 23, 1980 3713.90  
  1981 Saturday, November 7, 1981 3726.43  
  1896 Saturday, January 25, 1896 3729.29  
  1991 Thursday, December 26, 1991 3732.74  
  1895 Friday, April 12, 1895 3733.62  
  1982 Monday, January 4, 1982 3740.21  
  1983 Saturday, January 15, 1983 3747.45  
  1979 Saturday, April 21, 1979 3755.66  
  1963 Saturday, November 9, 1963 3759.67  
  1894 Saturday, December 1, 1894 3769.40  
  1897 Friday, April 16, 1897 3776.28  
  1978 Tuesday, August 29, 1978 3778.15  
  1964 Saturday, January 4, 1964 3779.34  
  1962 Wednesday, March 7, 1962 3783.55  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Newcastle United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Newcastle United (3973) vs. Manchester City (4371)
  Tuesday, January 29, 2019
-356.9 11.4% 2-1 +17.7 
  Manchester City (4310) vs. Newcastle United (3971)
  Wednesday, October 29, 2014
-379.7 10.1% 0-2 +13.5 
  Tottenham Hotspur (4222) vs. Newcastle United (3896)
  Wednesday, March 22, 1961
-429.6 7.8% 1-2 +18.4 
  Newcastle United (4010) vs. Chelsea (4316)
  Saturday, December 6, 2014
-265.6 17.8% 2-1 +16.4 
  Chelsea (4342) vs. Newcastle United (4042)
  Wednesday, September 22, 2010
-345.1 12.1% 3-4 +8.8 
  Liverpool (4222) vs. Newcastle United (3922)
  Saturday, October 1, 1988
-381.1 10.0% 1-2 +18.0 
  Newcastle United (3962) vs. Manchester United (4246)
  Sunday, February 11, 2018
-245.8 19.5% 1-0 +16.1 
  Newcastle United (3978) vs. Chelsea (4254)
  Saturday, November 2, 2013
-235.8 20.5% 2-0 +23.9 
  Newcastle United (3935) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4202)
  Sunday, May 15, 2016
-228.2 21.2% 5-1 +29.6 
  Newcastle United (3903) vs. Liverpool (4165)
  Sunday, December 6, 2015
-223.2 21.7% 2-0 +23.5 
  Newcastle United (4037) vs. Chelsea (4295)
  Sunday, February 20, 2005
-198.0 24.2% 1-0 +11.4 
  Wolverhampton Wanderers (4174) vs. Newcastle United (3917)
  Saturday, September 20, 1958
-362.3 11.1% 1-3 +26.7 
  Newcastle United (3771) vs. Burnley (4027)
  Saturday, February 2, 1895
-123.8 32.9% 2-1 +13.4 
  Newcastle United (4060) vs. Chelsea (4311)
  Sunday, May 7, 2006
-195.1 24.5% 1-0 +15.1 
  Newcastle United (3979) vs. Manchester United (4223)
  Saturday, February 12, 2000
-176.4 26.6% 3-0 +25.7 
  Newcastle United (3941) vs. Sunderland (4180)
  Saturday, December 27, 1913
-118.5 33.6% 2-1 +13.3 
  Newcastle United (3991) vs. Chelsea (4229)
  Sunday, May 13, 2018
-199.2 24.1% 3-0 +26.6 
  Newcastle United (3910) vs. Liverpool (4147)
  Saturday, August 24, 1985
-146.6 30.1% 1-0 +14.0 
  Arsenal (4132) vs. Newcastle United (3896)
  Saturday, December 20, 1930
-366.4 10.8% 1-2 +17.8 
  Newcastle United (3910) vs. Leeds United (4142)
  Monday, May 16, 1966
-128.5 32.3% 2-0 +20.3 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Newcastle United's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hereford United (3347) vs. Newcastle United (3963)
  Saturday, February 5, 1972
+514.1 95.1% 2-1 -19.0 
  Newcastle United (4171) vs. Crystal Palace (3583)
  Saturday, January 12, 1907
+712.9 98.4% 0-1 -19.7 
  Newcastle United (3799) vs. Bedford Town (3228)
  Saturday, January 4, 1964
+674.1 98.0% 1-2 -19.6 
  Lincoln City (3414) vs. Newcastle United (3908)
  Wednesday, September 13, 1967
+389.4 90.4% 2-1 -18.1 
  Stevenage (3558) vs. Newcastle United (4036)
  Saturday, January 8, 2011
+433.0 92.4% 3-1 -13.9 
  Colchester United (3563) vs. Newcastle United (3960)
  Monday, October 10, 1960
+293.1 84.4% 4-1 -29.5 
  Millwall (3599) vs. Newcastle United (3988)
  Saturday, January 26, 1957
+281.0 83.4% 2-1 -16.7 
  Newcastle United (3973) vs. Cambridge United (3591)
  Saturday, January 8, 2022
+420.7 91.8% 0-1 -9.2 
  Sheffield Wednesday (3833) vs. Newcastle United (4195)
  Saturday, January 7, 2023
+324.9 86.6% 2-1 -8.7 
  Chester (3605) vs. Newcastle United (3959)
  Wednesday, December 18, 1974
+253.8 81.2% 1-0 -16.2 
  Cambridge United (3565) vs. Newcastle United (3908)
  Saturday, April 28, 1984
+251.1 80.9% 1-0 -16.2 
  Middlesbrough (3710) vs. Newcastle United (4048)
  Saturday, February 9, 1901
+207.5 76.8% 3-1 -23.0 
  Oxford United (3675) vs. Newcastle United (4010)
  Saturday, January 28, 2017
+298.8 84.8% 3-0 -14.8 
  Bristol Rovers (3689) vs. Newcastle United (4023)
  Tuesday, September 8, 1970
+229.4 78.9% 2-1 -15.8 
  Blackpool (3591) vs. Newcastle United (3918)
  Wednesday, September 23, 1987
+237.7 79.7% 1-0 -15.9 
  Luton Town (3907) vs. Newcastle United (4202)
  Saturday, December 23, 2023
+258.4 81.6% 1-0 -16.3 
  Newport County (3597) vs. Newcastle United (3882)
  Saturday, June 7, 1947
+160.0 71.5% 4-2 -21.5 
  Newcastle United (3933) vs. Scunthorpe United (3648)
  Saturday, January 25, 1958
+390.7 90.5% 1-3 -27.1 
  AFC Bournemouth (3957) vs. Newcastle United (4240)
  Saturday, November 11, 2023
+246.0 80.5% 2-0 -24.1 
  Leyton Orient (3740) vs. Newcastle United (4022)
  Saturday, February 20, 1926
+160.0 71.5% 2-0 -21.5 
 
   

The twenty teams that Newcastle United are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Walsall 14 +3.95 
  Rotherham United 17 +3.86 
  Brentford 17 +2.99 
  Cambridge United 17 +2.31 
  Plymouth Argyle 37 +2.08 
  Coventry City 68 +2.04 
  Bradford Park Avenue 21 +1.85 
  Notts County 64 +1.83 
  Crystal Palace 53 +1.51 
  Cardiff City 58 +1.47 
  Aston Villa 173 +1.40 
  Bury 68 +1.38 
  Bolton Wanderers 118 +1.26 
  Oldham Athletic 40 +1.14 
  Swindon Town 17 +1.11 
  Sheffield Wednesday 131 +1.09 
  Queens Park Rangers 50 +1.07 
  Stoke City 92 +1.07 
  West Ham United 143 +0.99 
  Burnley 112 +0.84 

The twenty teams that Newcastle United are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Chesterfield 11 -5.49 
  Millwall 19 -5.07 
  Scunthorpe United 13 -3.75 
  Peterborough United 11 -2.49 
  AFC Wimbledon 23 -2.48 
  Oxford United 20 -2.02 
  Wigan Athletic 19 -1.92 
  Lincoln City 11 -1.88 
  Grimsby Town 41 -1.76 
  Blackpool 61 -1.68 
  Fulham 80 -1.36 
  Brighton and Hove Albion 33 -1.29 
  AFC Bournemouth 19 -1.17 
  Bradford City 42 -1.17 
  Leyton Orient 21 -1.04 
  Liverpool 185 -0.94 
  Sheffield United 128 -0.92 
  Southampton 104 -0.82 
  Blackburn Rovers 147 -0.79 
  Watford 48 -0.72